Special election for the final two years of JD Vance's term. A true toss-up: RCP's polling average has Brown narrowly ahead, and June polls (Fox, AARP) favor Brown.
Jon Husted Republican
Appointed U.S. Senator since 2025; former Ohio Lieutenant Governor
45%est. chance of winning · RCP: Toss-up; appointed incumbent seeking to finish the term - EconomyTax cuts, support for manufacturing and working-class jobs
- ImmigrationStronger border enforcement
- GovernmentTrump-endorsed; positions himself between the party’s populist and moderate wings
versus
Sherrod Brown Democrat
Former three-term U.S. Senator
55%est. chance of winning · RCP average (July): Brown +0.6; Fox News (June): +8; AARP (June): +3 - EconomyChampion of working-class and labor interests, trade policy focused on American jobs
- HealthcareProtect and expand access, lower drug costs
- GovernmentPopulist record, anti-corporate posture
- HousingSupports affordable housing investment